In a secret TQ...VIG memo Purple Stuff posited the following to Mr. Falcon:
Purple Stuff: "Was just reading on the non-tendered guys and wanted to know what you thought about going after Prior. I don't know the extent of the injuries (I just play a doctor on TV) but if the Dodgers could get him on the cheap and start him down in Jacksonville or Vegas I think it may be a pretty good move (low risk w/ high upside if he gets healthy). He's also an LA guy (went to SC) so I think we would have the best shot of getting him. What do you think?"
Mr. Falcon: Originally, he claimed that he would be ready for spring training. However, it's not clear that he's even begun throwing after his latest shoulder operation. Most people think he won't be back until mid-season. Dusty Baker has expressed interest in him, but I doubt Prior's shoulder can handle another season under Dusty's abusive reign. Prior is a USC guy, but he's a San Diego native. I think we'd have a decent shot to get him if we make a run. A low base contract laden with incentives might be a smart low-risk-high-reward move. However, Prior has only pitched 43 innings since the beginning of the 2006 season. If Prior can get back anywhere near his 2003 season he'll be worth the risk. In 2003 he produced the following line:
IP 211.1
ERA 2.43
WHIP 1.10
ERA+ 178
I would recommend giving Prior a 2 year deal worth around $4MM. Pad that low base rate with a ton of incentives for games started, innings pitched, and some success metrics (i.e. sub-4 ERA, sub-1.5 WHIP, etc...). With incentives the contract might go as high as $10MM/yr.
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10 comments:
I must once again lament the one-sided nature of this bullshit blog. Please give us more entries about the upside to trading Matt Kemp, and about how new Giant Aaron Rowand would have supplied the grit necessary to take the Dodgers over the hump. Thanks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
This guy is as funny as "The George Lopez Show"
Also, u could make the opposing argument and whalaa...2 sides. However, regardless of what happens your dad still hates you.
Mr. Falcon, don't ever admit you've seen the George Lopez Show. Shit like that will ruin TQ...VIG's reputation.
There is no upside to trading Matt Kemp. Since you have apparently learned how to post comments you are more than welcome to argue otherwise but even you must see that would be a futile exercise. I would only even consider trading Kemp for a package of Matt Holliday, Johan Santana, and the ghost of Teddy Ballgame (including the ghosts of all those Tojos he shot down over the Pacific whose souls he now carries with him in the afterlife).
Aaron Rowand is about as gritty as my balls (and I know about 8 girls who will tell you they are as smooth as eggs).
As far as Prior goes, that type of deal sounds perfect to me. I figure he and Schmidty can battle it out to see who can regain their old form faster and break into a rotation of Tiger Penis, Billingsley, Lowe, and Kuroda. Also, if we can find somebody to pay half of Pierre's salary and take him off our hands he would essentially be free (unless he does well in which case I don't mind paying him whatever it takes).
And that 8 number doesn't even include strippers/prostitutes so who's the man now?
If your team is dumb enough to trade Matt Kemp, they deserve the same fate as last year.
I know I don't really post on the blog, but aren't we abbreviating the title as TQ...ViG? If not I would like to put in a vote for support of the lower case "i."
New updates indicate that Prior may have quite a few teams chasing him (in hopes that he regains his 2003 form).
If 6-8 teams are interested someone is going to severely overpay. Any team giving a high base rate is insane.
I think the list of teams interested is long because teams are hoping to get him at a discount. It is the same reason more teams were willing to trade for Bedard than for Santana (they can afford Bedard). Prior will have options in terms of teams but I doubt the bidding gets very crazy (except maybe with respect to the incentive portion of the deal).
Betting on a Mark Prior comeback is like betting on a Knicks 2007-2008 championship.
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